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As the playoff schedule continues to shrink, so do options in daily fantasy formats.
The 10- to 13-game slates vanished when the regular season ended. The wild-card slate provided a decent pool of options with six games. Last week we were down to four. Sunday, we have just two games from which to choose players.
That means high usage rates on many of the top targets. There will be virtually no rosters that eschew all top-dollar options, and the DFS whales who practice blunt force strategy by fielding a fleet of rosters that meet or approach the maximum allowed will diversify their rosters to include a variety of different combinations of top players they can fit under the salary cap.
This essentially means, we aren’t going to worry about ownership rates. We imagine any of our top players will have high usage across any contest. We’re going to focus on fitting our favorites under the cap and take some calculated stabs at cheap options to fill out the rest.
As with any tournament roster, we want to stack our quarterback with one or more pass-catching teammates. All the QBs this weekend have high fantasy ceilings, so we’re going to go with the one that adds a ground dimension to his fantasy value, Josh Allen.
If we have Allen in our lineup, we’re not going to let Stefon Diggs beat us, so we pair with him. Then we add someone on the other sideline of the same game, in this case the most consistent Chiefs receiving option with the highest floor, tight end Travis Kelce.
Now we move past the Chiefs-Bills for the moment to address other players we like. The Packers have the more generous run defense of those remaining, so we go with an affordable Leonard Fournette. The one other player were are determined to fit is Davante Adams, so we add him then behind working the math.
With little money left, we go cheap at the other RB spot and cross our fingers in hopes Jamaal Williams steals a touchdown from Aaron Jones. We want a share of the Bucs’ passing game, so we opt for the cheap Scotty Miller. With not much left, we add another on the Bills side with tight end Dawson Knox at Flex, then the Buccaneers defense/special teams, who had success vs. the Packers during the regular season — which, as flimsy as that is, is more reason to like them than any other options in what could be a offensively-driven slate.
Then we kick back and enjoy our last multi-game slate until next fall.
Conference checkups and checkdowns
Patrick Mahomes QB, Chiefs, vs. Bills (FanDuel $9,000/Draft Kings $7,600)
It is hard to bet against any of the final four QBs, but Mahomes has been the least productive of the bunch since December and is dealing with a toe injury as well.
Leonard Fournette RB, Buccaneers, at Packers (FD $7,200/DK $5,300)
He led Ronald Jones in touches last week, has played a solid role in the passing game of late as well.
Devin Singletary RB, Bills, at Chiefs (FD $5,800/DK $4,500)
Of the teams remaining, the Chiefs have the stingiest defense vs. fantasy RBs. Singletary has two TDs — all season. Even with Zack Moss out, not worth the risk.
Scotty Miller WR, Buccaneers, at Packers (FD $5,800/DK $4,700)
With Antonio Brown out with a knee problem, Miller provides an affordable option. All you need on a short slate is for him to score to justify the cheap salary-cap outlay.
Mecole Hardman WR, Chiefs, vs. Bills (FD $5,300/DK $4,000)
We imagine the Bills will use mutliple defenders to try to neutralize Tyreek Hill, and tight end Travis Kelce can’t catch all the passes. Hardman is a good cheap option in an explosive offense.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR, Packers, vs. Buccaneers (FD $5,500/DK $3,900)
Not unlike Hardman, MVS is big-play reliant. But he also is the worst-rated WR among viable fantasy options and is the most grossly mismatched this week according to PPF ratings.
Insanity’s Daily dose
Daily fantasy league lineup suggestion by Drew Loftis:
Top Prize: $300K
Tot. pot: $1.75M
QB: Josh Allen=$8,500
RB: Leonard Fournette=$7,200
RB: Jamaal Williams=$5,000
WR: Davante Adams=$8,900
WR: Stefon Diggs=$8,300
WR: Scotty Miller=$4,900
TE: Travis Kelce=$8,600
Flex: Dawson Knox=$4,700
For late roster changes, follow @NYPost_Loftis on Twitter.
Season risked: $137.44
Season winnings: $100
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